An EC funded programme on “Linking information and decision making to improve food security” (GCP/GLO/243/EC)
Under an EC funded programme on “Linking information and decision making to improve food security” (GCP/GLO/243/EC), we are preparing a set of tools to asses climate change impacts at the national level.
Dear
colleagues,
under an EC funded programme on “Linking
information and decision making to improve food security”
(GCP/GLO/243/EC), we are preparing a set of tools to asses
climate change impacts at the national level. The procedure will
be roughly based on a recent study we did on impacts in Morocco.
The study is downloadable
from
ftp://ext-ftp.fao.org/SD/Reserved/Agromet/WB_FAO_morocco_CC_yield_impact/report/WB_Morocco_20091013.pdf
We will publish an integrated toolbox, that will provide
methods, tutorials, software, and sample data that can be used
for training at the national level, and that should enable
trainees (from various technical sectors) to jointly carry out an
impact study covering the spectrum from climate scenario outputs
to impacts on agriculture to economic impacts.
We are very
ignorant about economic impacts.
What we are interested in
advice on an existing simulation tool that would read projected
yields grids (with a measure of yield variability), from now to
2100, and help users estimate economic impacts. The model should
understand such things as labour availability, urban demand, land
availability, water availability for irrigation, maybe local
transportation costs (but here I am already overstepping my
competence!)
We would then include such a model in our
toolbox, and request it's developer to work with us in
customizing it so that it fits nicely into the box. After the
toolbox is finalised, we'll carry out two pilot studies in
Africa.
If you are familiar with the kind of models we are
interested in (maybe along the lines of CGE or variants), be so
kind and drop a line to François Delobel
(francois.delobel@fao.org),
and provide a simple description of the model, or an internet
link where we can find the info in layman's terms.
Many
thanks
Rene Gommes (FAO)



